Rewriting security features in Eastern Europe

By Shazia Anwer Cheema

Shazia Cheema is a foreign affairs expert

BENEFITING from a strategically important geopolitical position with weaker economies places the majority of Eastern European countries in a sensitive security zone.

Russia on one side and NATO on the other create a diplomatic magnetic field, causing a constant vibration and consuming energies for decision-making.

Ukraine has become an example that the United States does not offer immediate assistance to a country that wanted to join the American group and lost a large part of its territory to Russia without obtaining tangible support from the allies Americans.

Another important factor is the presence of China in the region which offers no ideology but business and only promotes economic connectivity.

Now, three magnetic fields are present in Eastern Europe——NATO with an anti-Russian narrative; Russia with an anti-NATO narrative and China not forcing anyone into any narrative.

The narrative offered by China is one of “economic incentives”. Even stronger European countries like Germany are under the influence of China’s economic network while European countries’ energy demands tie them to Russia while NATO provides security.

Regional experts believe that since NATO has only one lever to stay in the theater and that is security, therefore, NATO prefers to create security problems in the region.

This point of view can be disputed and it can be said that it is Russia that creates the security problems and that NATO is the protector of the weaker countries.

Whichever view is true; it indicates that the reality of security is an important issue for the countries of Eastern Europe.

The recent hype that “the Russians are coming” has shaken Ukraine’s economy which was already going through a bad patch due to several factors including COVID-19.

Western media described the situation where the Russians would try to invade Ukraine at any time and this “at any time” has wreaked havoc on the Ukrainian economy because the economy cannot remain normal when it there is news of a “possible war” in the international media.

This hype might be politically useful for the United States to pressure Russia and a “Breaking News” type situation for the media to fill their air time, but it was not in favor of the US at all. ‘Ukraine.

It is relevant to mention that Germany and France managed to calm the situation between Ukraine and Russia during the meeting on January 26, 2022.

This meeting indicates that diplomacy is the only solution and sitting across the table confirmed that diplomacy should not be the victim of hype because no media house has paid the cost of this hype, but the economy Ukrainian.

Ukraine is not the only case and every year or sometimes twice a year we find reports that Russia is building on the borders of EU states.

The Western media is the main tool for clearing the ground for the American landing, as the hype that “Iraq had weapons of mass destruction (WMD)” helped invade Iraq and the news that “Osama Ben Laden had a dirty bomb” offered immunity to attack Afghanistan.

I believe the Western media has all the skills to create hype and scenes where destruction is knocking at the door and the saviors are NATO and US allied forces preventing wars otherwise the whole world will be in war.

Since the creation of NATO after the Second World War, security agreements in Europe have been pro-NATO, anti-Russian and anti-Muslim (after the tragic incident of September 11).

However, I think it will not stay as it is today if China continues to influence European markets.

The new scenario would be anti-China, anti-Russia and pro-NATO. Now there would be three main players – China-Russia-NATO.

The United States is already urging Eastern European countries to challenge the “one China policy” by promoting Taiwan as an independent state.

I fear that Europe will soon be the main economic battleground between the United States and China, but that would be a different kind of economic warfare.

So far, NATO and the United States have used “sanction weapons” against adversaries all over the world, from South America to Africa, the Middle East and Europe.

This weapon would not be as deadly for China as it was for Russia or Iran because the world economy is strongly linked to Chinese products.

China is also not a Muslim country, therefore accusing China of harboring terrorism would also not be possible as this has been used against Iran and sometimes even against Pakistan.

I’m sure this decade will be China-centric for the United States, but I doubt its allies will stand against China blindly or recklessly as they have in the past against several countries.

I believe that Europe will rewrite its security agreements and develop an independent security doctrine and mechanism in this decade because energy-hungry Europe cannot afford to sever all ties with the largest source energy – Russia and smaller Eastern European economies cannot deny the economic incentives offered by China.

According to my understanding, the majority of traders, traders and businessmen in Europe, especially in Eastern Europe, are trading in cheaper Chinese products and the suspension of trade with China will immediately harm consumers and traders. whose economic survival is directly linked to Chinese products.

Note: The above article was originally published by Pakistan Observer.