The Russian threat: Thinking Europe outside the box
What really unites the peoples of Europe? Life, whether on a continent, in a region or in any country, is the most complex material and ideological construct in the universe. Through European history, the countless failures and successes of his policy have proven difficult to disentangle. As hopes rose of having ended the many destructive imperial and religious wars of the early 19th century at the Congress of Vienna, the first half of the 20th century again overthrew the relative stability of the continent by World War I between 1914- 1918 and by World War II between 1939-1945. The ensuing global rivalry between the western and eastern parts of Europe ended with the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1991 and the emergence of the idealistic aspiration of a continent politically and economically United.
The new truncated Russian state faced the crucial problem of domestic and foreign policy to follow. Should he leave The United States of America and its European allies spread freely or take up arms against them. In President Yeltsin’s Russia, no one really grasps the importance of seeking friendship with the West. Within the changing leadership of the Russian Federation, Putin and his closest associates had other ideas. Thus, from the dawn of the 21st century, the desire to restore the defunct Soviet Empire took precedence over cooperation with Europe in the Kremlin. Calling the breakup of the Soviet Union “the greatest geopolitical disaster of the century”, President Putin then embarked on a restoration project, based on Russia’s military prowess. Beginning with the occupation of the eastern part of Moldova, called Transnistria, between 1990-1992, the invasion of South Ossetia and Abkhazia from Georgia in 2008, followed by the annexation of Crimea in 2014 , President Putin has taken advantage of the confusions in these former Soviet republics by reverting to the tried and tested imperial Russian foreign policy tactic of shifting from diplomacy to military expansion without discernible justification.
Domestically, President Yeltsin’s Russia became a mafia state, in which oligarchic corruption reigned. Initially, President Putin could not rule Russia simply through military expansion because his people only wanted peace and stability. However, he has been a gambler and a goofball throughout his professional life. He was unable to adapt to the realities of his environment. Its self-defined task has been to impose its will through deceitful diplomacy or sheer force. His latest lawless invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022 has already devastated eastern Ukraine and will destroy his presidency as well as his country. Now, blinded by fear-laden panic, he has embraced extreme violence.
For these reasons, if the allied states of NATO and the European Union want to avoid their future destruction by Putin’s Russia, they must declare in unison that they will never make peace with President Putin on the terms of the Kremlin. On the other hand, they must declare that they will respect the territorial integrity of the Russian Federation as it was constituted on December 25, 1991. Territories taken violently or annexed by fictitious referendums must be returned to their legitimate state . Only in this way could the continent of Europe be freed from the anarchy of a state that has been the military threat to Eurasia since the beginning of the 16th century.
The unity of NATO and the European Union is threatened by a single member state, Hungary. The whole life of its Prime Minister Viktor Orban has been controlled by a schizophrenic state of deceptive contradictions. After serving loyally in the Communist Youth Alliance (Hungarian acronyms: KISZ), in 1989 he demanded the withdrawal of the Soviet Red Army from Hungary. Then he turned into a revolutionary with ultra-liberal views. Towards the end of the 1990s, he became a conservative Christian who espoused an autocratic nationalism tinged with antediluvian feudal values. Today, Viktor Orban is a failed politician who tyrannizes over a bankrupt country. Under these circumstances, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was a poisonous gift to his beleaguered career. Blaming the United States of America and the European Union for the widespread malaise in Hungary and all of Europe, he demands an immediate armistice and peace negotiations without preconditions with Russia. Clearly, he is a living paradox that poses an existential threat to both alliances.
Meanwhile, the massive mobilization in Russia which mainly affects minority men has caused a mass exodus to neighboring countries. Without a doubt, Putin’s mobilization is an absolute disaster. The men have no idea what the real reason for the war they are waging is. More importantly, they realize that President Putin has been lying all along about the true nature of “special military operations.”
Ultimately, NATO and the European Union are fighting against the same imperial regime that characterized Tsarist Russia as well as the Soviet Union. Putin’s Russia is an illegitimate state that is not supported by accepted principles of law. Its autocracy is supported exclusively by violent oppression. Therefore, each defeat weakens Putin’s powers. Currently, the contradiction between the liberal West and autocratic Russia is insoluble. The crux of the current situation is that peace can only be achieved through regime change to an enlightened republican government in Russia.
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